(Values and Visions: Western Culture and Humanity's Future, Address by Richard Eckersley)

Recent evidence

I want to turn now to several strands of research into depression and suicide that point to the fundamental nature of the factors contributing to these problems (I am not arguing these are the only factors).

Increase in depression: There is growing evidence of a dramatic rise in major depressive illness in the US and other industrial nations, especially since the Second World War and especially among the young. Some of this evidence suggests a tenfold increase in depression among young people over this period.

A recent major survey of the health of more than 2700 children aged 4-16 in Western Australia found 18% had mental health problems (including depression; delinquency; thought, attention and social problems; and aggressive behaviour). The proportions were 16% among those 4-11 and 21% among those 12-16.

Youth suicide: Suicide has been called the mortality of depressive illness. Rates among young males have risen in most western nations since the 1950s, with some countries, including the US, Australia and New Zealand, experiencing a tripling or more.

Rates are low (although probably under-reported) and appear to have increased little if at all in countries such as Italy and Spain, where family and religious ties remain strong. And in Japan, where adolescence is regarded as a rigorous apprenticeship and the emphasis is on integration into society, rates have fallen dramatically to amongst the lowest in the industrial world.

Surveys also reveal a staggering level of suicidal ideation and attempts among young people, suggesting that suicide, or at least its contemplation, has become a mainstream option for today's young adults.

University students survey: a study just published of suicidal ideation (or thoughts) and attempts among a sample of more than 1600 Queensland university undergraduates, average age just under 22), found that almost two thirds showed varying degrees of ideation in the previous year.


The Queensland university study found (percentages for categories of suicidal ideation and behaviour reflect positive responses to the questions listed):

No suicidal ideation - 39%

Minimal ideation - 21%
I feel life just isn't worth living.
Life is so bad I feel like giving up.

High ideation - 19%
I just wish my life would end.
I have been thinking of ways to kill myself.

Suicide-related behaviour - 15%
I have told someone I want to kill myself.
I have come close to taking my own life.

Suicide attempt - 7%
I have made attempts to kill myself.


The results are hard to believe. But they are broadly consistent with other surveys here and overseas. For example the WA child health survey found almost a quarter (24%) of 15-16-year-olds had had suicidal thoughts in the previous six months, double the proportion among 12-14-year-olds (12%). About a third of the children who had thought about suicide had deliberately tried to harm or kill themselves.

What is going on here? Are the researchers being conned? Do the kids think they are being cool - but aren't really being serious - when they admit to such dark thoughts of death? Or are we making some awful, awful blunder that is stripping from so many of them the deep conviction that life is worthwhile and worth living.

In the American writer Cormac McCarthy's acclaimed novel, All the pretty horses, the hero rides early one morning into a small Mexican town, where a group of laughing girls are festooning a gazebo with crepe. He stops at a cafe and after serving him the proprietor stands at the window watching the girls and says that it is good that God keeps the truths of life from the young as they are starting out, or else they'd have no heart to start at all.

David Elkind, an American professor of child development and the author of the The hurried child, echoes this sentiment, saying there is this new image of children as competent and sophisticated. Like adults, they are expected to be able to handle all the issues they are exposed to. "But I disagree," he says, "I think children find it most disturbing, hurtful and damaging."


Youth Partnership

I want to change tack now and talk about some of the findings of the ASTEC Youth Partnership project.

The project comprised a series of eight workshops involving about 150 young people, most aged between 15 and 24 and from a variety of backgrounds, and a national telephone poll of 800 young Australians in this age group. The Partnership is part of ASTEC's major Future Needs 2010 foresight study. It was undertaken by a group of youth, education and science organisations.

The project's aims were to explore young people's views of probable and preferred futures for Australia in 2010; and the key issues shaping these futures, including the role of science and technology.

The workshops suggest most young people see the future mainly in terms of a worsening of today's global and national problems and difficulties, although they also expect some improvements. Major concerns included: pollution and environmental destruction, including the impact of growing populations; the gulf between rich and poor; high unemployment, including the effect of automation and immigration; conflict, crime and violence; family problems and breakdown; discrimination and prejudice; and economic difficulties, including the level of foreign debt. The poll suggests optimism about the future is more common than the workshops indicated. Nevertheless, the expectation that the future will be better than the present remains a minority position:
· Asked to choose between two statements about the world in the 21st century, a majority chose: "...a bad time of crisis and trouble" over "...a new age of peace and prosperity".
· A minority believes Australia's quality of life will be better in 2010 than it is now.
· A minority believes science and technology - a dominant and defining feature of western industrial societies - have had more benefits than disadvantages.
· Pessimism about the future increases with age. Females are more negative than males about both the future and science and technology.

Many other surveys have revealed this pessimism among young people (and older Australians, too). In summarising this work, a recent Schools Council report also links it to the systemic failure I have discussed:
"Researchers point out that among young Australians today, pessimism about the future is strongly felt by virtually everyone they interview. This is especially true of their views about the economy, the environment and the effectiveness of the political process. This suggests, say the researchers, that society as a whole - schools, media, elders, political and social leaders - has failed to exemplify and promote the things that could give cause for optimism in Australia's future. It may mean that while the problems of the future are new and daunting, the solutions being offered are old and unworkable."

Young people's preferred future is not only very different from what they expect, but also from what they are promised under current priorities. Their preference - with its emphasis on the environment, community and family, and equality - also suggests the need for profound and systemic change.

For example, asked in the poll which of two scenarios for Australia for 2010 came closer to the type of society they both expected and preferred, a majority said they expected "a fast-paced, internationally competitive society, with the emphasis on the individual, wealth generation and enjoying the 'good life'". However, a greater majority said they preferred " a 'greener', more stable society, where the emphasis is on cooperation, community and family, more equal distribution of wealth, and greater economic self-sufficiency".


© 1989-1999 to Dr Michael Ellis

(Values and Visions: Western Culture and Humanity's Future, Address by Richard Eckersley)